4h context is still bearish despite the rebound from the February low: lower highs remain intact and the recent bounce stalled into the 205-210 supply area. On the 1h, price spent several sessions chopping under 210, failed again near that zone on 3/17, then sold off hard on 3/18 and is now trading back under the key 200 pivot. The latest 1h bar opened weak, flushed to 191.87, and only bounced back toward 199, which reads more like reactive buying than clean reclaim. 200 is a key level here; below it, the path opens toward prior support around 195 then 185. Enter on failure/rejection around 198.5-200, not in the middle of a bounce. Stop belongs above 206.5 where the breakdown thesis is wrong and price is back into the prior range. Options flow also leans bearish with put-heavy premium and poor call/put ratios, which supports downside but price action is the main driver.
Put Spread: Bearish breakdown setup below 200 with elevated implied volatility argues for defined risk instead of naked long puts. A 200/185 put spread targets a move into the next support zone by April expiration while reducing premium outlay and IV risk.
Long Put: If expecting immediate continuation lower, the April 2 200 put gives direct downside exposure just below the broken 200 pivot, but carries more premium decay than the spread.